Thứ Hai, 30 tháng 11, 2015

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ReviewBrokers – News Trading Canada GDP 08:30 AM Dec 01, 2015 ( NY Time )

Canada GDP   –    08:30 AM NY time   (Tuesday, December 1)

Traded pair                 Previous   Forecast     Deviation
USDCAD                        0.1 (%)            0.1 (%)                  ±0.3 (%)
Buy      USDCAD    if actual figure is or is below    –0.2 (%)
Sell      USDCAD     if actual figure is or is above    0.4 (%)
Expected move during first 30  minutes after the release is 30  pips or more.

Global Economic Calendar
Forex Brokers Choice

ReviewBrokers – News Trading 10:00AM Dec 01, 2015 ( NY Time ) USA Manufacturing PMI

USA Manufacturing PMI  –    10:00 AM NY time   (Tuesday, December 1)

Traded pair                 Previous   Forecast     Deviation
EURUSD                          50.4            50.4                   ±2.5
Buy      EURUSD      if actual figure is or is below    48.0
Sell      EURUSD      if actual figure is or is above    53.0
Expected move during first 30 minutes after the release is 20  pips or more.

Global Economic Calendar
Forex Brokers Choice

ReviewBrokers – News Trading 07:30 PM Dec 01 , 2015 ( NY Time ) Australia GDP

Australia GDP   –    07:30 PM NY time   (Tuesday, December 1)

Traded pair                 Previous   Forecast     Deviation
AUD/USD                     0.7 (%)           0.7 (%)                  ±0.3 (%)
Buy      AUD/USD      if actual figure is or is below   1.0 (%)
Sell       AUD/USD     if actual figure is or is above   0.4 (%)
Expected move during first 45 minutes after the release is 50  pips or more.

Global Economic Calendar

PaxForex | Analysis on EURUSD 30.11.2015

Analysis on EURUSD 30.11.2015

The price is below the moving average 20 MA and 200 MA, indicating the downward trend.
Average in the MACD is below the zero level.
The oscillator Force Index is below the zero level.
If the price rebound from resistance level, you shall follow recommendations below:
•             Timeframe: H4
•             Recommendation: Short Position
•             Entry Level: Short Position 1.0560
•             Take Profit Level: 1.0470 (90 pips)
•             Stop Loss Level: 1.0590 (30 pips)
If the level of resistance is broken, you shall follow recommendations below:
•             Timeframe: H4
•             Recommendation: Long Position
•             Entry Level: Long Position 1.0600
•             Take Profit Level: 1.0680 (80 pips)
•             Stop Loss Level: 1.0570 (30 pips)
GOLD
Possible short position at the breakdown level 1052
GBPUSD
Possible short position at the breakdown level 1.5000
USDJPY
Possible long position at the breakout level 123.20
USDCHF
Possible long position at the breakout level 1.0320
Read More

Exness | EURUSD: under pressure against the background of a decline in retail sales in Germany

Exness | EURUSD Nov. 30, 2015, 09:17

Sell on a level breakthrough of 1.0565 with 1.0500 target. Stop loss = 1.0615.
Reason for the trading strategy
In October, Germany’s retail sales fell by 0.4% (m/m). In annual terms, the growth rate has slowed down from 3.5% to 2.1%. The statistics indicates a decrease in the consumer activity of German households and is putting pressure on the euro.
EURUSD, H4
EURUSD
Read More

Exness | NZDUSD: growth against the background of an increasing business confidence index in New Zealand

Exness : NZDUSD Nov. 30, 2015, 09:14

Buy on a level breakthrough of 0.6605 with 0.6705 target. Stop loss = 0.6550.
Reason for the trading strategy
According to the ANZ, business sentiment index in New Zealand rose from 10.5 p. to 14.6 p. in November The statistics indicates a likely acceleration in the future growth of the national economy. Opening long positions in the NZD/USD pair should be considered above the level of 0.6605.
NZDUSD, H4
NZDUSD
Read More

Exness | USDJPY: growth after the statement made by the Head of the Bank of Japan

Exness : USDJPY Nov. 30, 2015, 09:09

Buy on a level breakthrough of 122.93 with 123.75 target. Stop loss = 122.43.
Reason for the trading strategy
Today,  Mr. Kuroda, the governor of the Bank of Japan, said that the continuation of the current measures to stimulate the Japanese economy will boost the inflation rate up to 2%. According to him, the regulator is ready to do everything required to achieve this goal, including its additional easing.
USDJPY, H4
USDJPY
Read Morehttps://goo.gl/T6szd1

Market reviews | Short-term Trading Idea FX GBP/AUD – Bull Speculation: Expected Rebound to 2.13

Alpari: Market reviews Short-term Trading Idea FX GBP/AUD – Bull Speculation: Expected Rebound to 2.13

Trading opportunities for currency pair: a strong support from which the GBP/AUD managed to return to 2.0889 has formed. I’ll take a risk in saying that there’ll be growth to 2.13. Any growth above 2.1046 should tell you to hold off selling. A break through 2.0730 will see the rate drop to the trend line at 2.0525.
Background:
The last GBP/AUD idea I made came out on 14th September. The rate at that time was 2.1750. In September I looked at two scenarios. The first was a rebound (sticking basically with the trend) and the second was for if a break in the trend was to take place. In actual fact, the GBP/AUD broke the trend line and after a recoil the pound reached the calculated 2.0913 level (23.6% 1.8979 – 2.1528).
As things are at the moment:
Since August a support (2.0730-2.0873) has been forming. The support is strong. If we make a line along the minimums, we can see a formation that comes together. We now need to set out what we expect from the pair in December.
All trader attention is now on the ECB and FOMC meetings, along with the NFP that is on the horizon. For this cross it’s more important how the pound and the Aussie act against the USD. At the moment, we can look at setting buy stops below 2.0730 as well as pound sales if there’s a break in the support.
The potential for a strengthening of the pound is significantly higher than the potential for a weakening of the currency. If we see a bounce of the price from the support, we can set our eyes on 2.13 and if we see this break then we’ll be looking to 2.0525. I reckon that a fall in the pound will hold the main trend line from the 1.7212 (8th September, 2014) minimum – 1.8979 (6th May, 2015).
Last week saw representatives of the Bank of England, in addition to UK stats, disappoint the buyers. However, whilst the support isn’t broken, we better work with a rebound. A growth above 2.1046 should make you more than think twice about selling.
gbpaud
Vladislav Antonov, Alpari analyst

Market reviews | Short-term Trading Idea FX GBP/USD – Bear Speculation: Important Events Upcoming

Alpari: Market reviews Short-term Trading Idea FX GBP/USD – Bear Speculation: Important Events Upcoming

Trading opportunities for currency pair:the monthly candle has closed the previous two months and will be closing down. The target is 1.4560. Due to the general strengthening of USD and according to the cycle, the pound/dollar’s fall could last until the beginning of March 2016. Since the scenario is a weekly one, it could become invalid if the weekly candle closes above 1.5340.
As things are at the moment:
The pound/dollar closed at 1.5030 against 1.5046. The pound strengthened to 1.5335 as part of an upward correction and then returned to where it was. The support remained unbroken with the weekly indicators showing a further fall for the GBP.
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Weekly GBP/USD
After the broken trend line (dotted line), the pound couldn’t manage to win back its losses. The price returned to the support. All of the indicators (CCI, AC, and AO) are showing a further fall for the pound sterling. Just as before, I’m still waiting for the support to be broken. The first target is 1.4950 and after that the road to 1.4565 will open up.
We can expect a sharp fall of the GBP/USD if there is an upward inversion of the euro/pound cross. Don’t expect this inversion to come before 3rd December (ECB meeting).
eurgbp
Weekly EUR/GBP
The price already takes account for a further relaxation of monetary policy. If the ECB disappoints the market, the euro/pound will flip downside up. After the ECB has convened, traders will be focussing their attention on Friday’s US labour market report and the FOMC meeting. Here I think we’ll see a double bottom. This pattern could be realized even if the ECB relaxed its monetary policy further.
gbpusd
Monthly GBP/USD
The monthly candle will close on Tuesday. I’ve put this graph in the review to show you the full picture for the GBP/USD. It’s unlikely that anything will change over the course of Monday. For now, November has closed two previous candles and this is a bear signal.
If we put a line through the 1.7042 and 2.7189 maximums and then attach a parallel line to the 1.4227 minimum, we get a support at 1.4430. I took the target from April 2015’s minimum.
Vladislav Antonov, Alpari analyst

Market reviews | Medium-term Trading Idea FX USD/SEK – Bull Speculation: Expected Growth to 9.4794

Alpari | Market reviews : Medium-term Trading Idea FX USD/SEK – Bull Speculation: Expected Growth to 9.4794

Trading opportunities for currency pair: a W-shape pattern is just about formed. If the US Fed raises rates on 16th December, the USD/SEK will head to 9.4794. It has until April 2016 to reach the target. The interim target is at 9.3259 (March 2009 maximum). Growth will cancel if the weekly candle closes below 8.4933. Following a rebound from 8.83, I will be waiting for a return to 8.18 along the same W-shaped pattern.

The last USD/SEK idea I made came out on 26th October. The rate at that time stood at 8.4945. I was waiting for the dollar to strengthen to 8.8359 along the W-shaped pattern. The target still hasn’t been reached. In actual fact, the USD/SEK lifted to 8.7824.
As things are at the moment:
So what should we do if it reaches 8.8359? Market participants are expecting the US Fed to put up their rates. On the 4th December a US labour market report will be out. After the trading session closes on Friday, ready yourself for a break in the 8.88 resistance or the formation of an inverted candle combination (bounce from the resistance).
If the US Fed raises rates on 16th December, the USD/SEK will head to 9.4794. The interim target in this case will be 9.3259 (March 2009 maximum). If we see a rebound from 8.83, I’ll be expecting a return of the rate to 8.18 along the same W-shaped pattern.

Vladislav Antonov, Alpari analyst

Fibonacci Retracements Analysis 30.11.2015 (EUR/USD, EUR/GBP)

Analysis for November 30th, 2015 by RoboForex
EUR USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

It looks like after rebounding from the retracement of 61.8%, Eurodollar has resumed its decline. The main target is still the group of lower fibo-levels at 1.0450. it’s highly likely that the price may break the local low on Monday.

At the end of the last week, the price rebounded from the local retracements of 61.8%. During the day, the local correction may take place, which may be followed by a further decline of the pair towards its downside targets.

EUR GBP, “Euro vs Great Britain Pound”

Europound has rebounded from the retracement of 38.2% twice, that’s why we can expected it to resume its descending movement. The closest target is the group of lower fibo-levels at 0.6875.

At the H1 chart, Europound has rebounded from the retracement of 61.8% during the local correction. Later the market may continue falling towards the group of fibo-levels at 0.6945. It’s highly likely that on Monday the pair may reach a new low.


RoboForex Analytical Department

Wave Analysis 30.11.2015 (EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD)

Forecast for November 30th, 2015 by RoboForex
EUR USD, “Euro vs US Dollar”

It looks like the pair is still forming the descending extension in the wave 3. On the minor wave level, the price has finished the wave [iv]. Consequently, in the nearest future the market continue falling in the wave [v] of 3.

At the H1 chart, the price has formed the bearish impulse in the wave (i). In the nearest future, after finishing the wave (ii), the pair may start falling in the third wave. Later, the market may break the minimum of the wave [iii].

GBP USD, “Great Britain Pound vs US Dollar”

Pound is back to falling as it is forming the wave [iii]. Earlier, the price finished the wave [ii] in the form of the zigzag. In the future, the pair may continue falling in the third wave and break the minimum of the wave [i].

After completing the wave (ii), Pound has started falling in the wave (iii) of [iii]. Later, the market is expected to continue falling in the third wave. Earlier, the price formed the diagonal triangle in the wave (c) thus finishing the wave [ii].

USD JPY, “US Dollar vs Japanese Yen”

In case of Yen, the pair may continue growing in the wave (v) of the bullish extension in the wave [iii]. Later, the pair is expected to start the correctional wave [iv] of 5, which may take quite a lot of time.

Probably, the pair has finished the wave (iv) in the form of the double zigzag. On the minor wave level, Yen is starting another growth in the wave iii of the wave (v) of [iii]. It’s highly likely that the market may break the maximum of the wave i on Monday.

AUD USD, “Australian Dollar vs US Dollar”

Probably, Australian Dollar has finished the wave [ii] in the form of the double zigzag. Earlier, the price formed the descending wedge in the wave [i]. Later, the pair may resume its descending movement in the wave [iii].

Probably, the price has completed the double zigzag in the wave [ii]. On the minor wave level, the pair has formed the impulse in the wave c. Consequently, in the nearest future the pair may start another descending movement in the first wave of the wave [iii].


RoboForex Analytical Department

ReviewBrokers – News Trading Australia Interest Rate 10:30 PM Nov 30, 2015 ( NY Time )

Australia Interest Rate   –    10:30 PM NY time   (Monday, November 30)

Traded pair                 Previous   Forecast     Deviation
AUD/USD                     2.00 (%)      2.00(%)             ±0.25(%)
Buy      AUD/USD      if actual figure is or is below    2.25 (%)
Sell       AUD/USD     if actual figure is or is above    1.75 (%)
Expected move during first 45  minutes after the release is 50  pips or more.

Global Economic Calendar
Forex Brokers Choice

Chủ Nhật, 29 tháng 11, 2015

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Thứ Sáu, 27 tháng 11, 2015

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Thứ Năm, 26 tháng 11, 2015

FXGrow Daily Technical Strategies 27.11.2015

FXGrow Daily Technical Strategies 27.11.2015

EUR/USD Intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.065
Our preference: Short positions below 1.065 with targets @ 1.0595 & 1.056 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.065 look for further upside with 1.068 & 1.071 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks upward momentum.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

GBP/USD Intraday: under pressure.
Pivot: 1.5135
Our preference: Short positions below 1.5135 with targets @ 1.5065 & 1.5045 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 1.5135 look for further upside with 1.5155 & 1.519 as targets.
Comment: The RSI is badly directed.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

USD/JPY Intraday: the bias remains bullish.
Pivot: 122.45
Our preference: Long positions above 122.45 with targets @ 122.75 & 122.95 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 122.45 look for further downside with 122.2 & 122 as targets.
Comment: The RSI lacks downward momentum.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

AUD/USD Intraday: the downside prevails.
Pivot: 0.726
Our preference: Short positions below 0.726 with targets @ 0.7205 & 0.718 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 0.726 look for further upside with 0.7285 & 0.732 as targets.
Comment: A break below 0.7205 would trigger a drop towards 0.718.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

Crude Oil (WTI) (F6) Intraday: key resistance at 43.45.
Pivot: 43.45
Our preference: Short positions below 43.45 with targets @ 41.7 & 41.26 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Above 43.45 look for further upside with 43.9 & 44.52 as targets.
Comment: As long as 43.45 is resistance, likely decline to 41.7.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced

Gold spot Intraday: caution.
Pivot: 1067
Our preference: Long positions above 1067 with targets @ 1075 & 1077.6 in extension.
Alternative scenario: Below 1067 look for further downside with 1063.5 & 1061 as targets.
Comment: Investors have to remain cautious since these levels may trigger profit taking.
Green Lines Represent Resistances | Red Lines Represent Support Levels | Light Blue is a Pivot Point |  Black represents the price when the report was produced